NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated January 05, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 31 | 3 | 64.6% | 1 | 33.1 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 29 | 4 | 61.7% | 2 | 30.7 | 3 |
| 2 | Karl Loiseau | 29 | 3 | 60.4% | 3 | 31.2 | 2 |
| 4 | Gavin Gray | 26 | 4 | 55.3% | 4 | 28.1 | 4 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 23 | 3 | 47.9% | 5 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 5 | Andrew Moeller | 23 | 3 | 47.9% | 5 | 23.9 | 6 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 22 | 3 | 45.8% | 7 | 23.4 | 8 |
| 7 | Mike Thorne | 22 | 3 | 45.8% | 7 | 23.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 18 | 3 | 37.5% | 9 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dan Ellenberger | 16 | 3 | 33.3% | 10 | 17.0 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | 13.8 | NYG | 0.88 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 10.4 | CIN | 0.25 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 8.9 | TEN | 0.72 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 12 | 13.3 | NE | 0.73 |
| New York Giants | 9 | 9.2 | PHI | 0.12 |
| New England Patriots | 8 | 8.2 | BUF | 0.27 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 12 | 12.9 | ARI | 0.89 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 10 | 10.8 | DEN | 0.41 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 7.5 | PIT | 0.41 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 11 | 12.0 | BAL | 0.75 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 8.5 | CLE | 0.59 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 7.6 | CAR | 0.62 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 12 | 12.6 | CHI | 0.76 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 7.2 | DAL | 0.25 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 4.1 | SF | 0.11 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 8.3 | GB | 0.33 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 8.6 | ATL | 0.33 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 7.1 | JAX | 0.28 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 12 | 12.8 | WAS | 0.75 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6 | 6.4 | NO | 0.38 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 4.3 | HOU | 0.59 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | 13.9 | LV | 0.79 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 6.1 | KC | 0.21 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 3.4 | MIN | 0.24 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 8.7 | DET | 0.67 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 8.6 | NYJ | 0.45 |
| Houston Texans | 2 | 2.7 | IND | 0.41 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 7 | 7.4 | MIA | 0.55 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 5.4 | SEA | 0.28 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 4.2 | LAC | 0.59 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 7 | 11 | -1 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 12 | 1 | 13 | -1 | 2 |
| New England Patriots | 8 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 9 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 10 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 12 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 11 | 6 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 4 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 18 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 10 | 9 | -5 | 16 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 12 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 16 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 12 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 8 | -4 | 15 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6 | 23 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| Houston Texans | 2 | 26 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 3 | 12 | -7 | 23 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 13 | 8 | -4 | 15 |
| New York Jets | 7 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Draft Results
